Timeline Posted May 16, 2005 Report Share Posted May 16, 2005 Interview/P3 list for 3rd week of May 2005. Good luck to everyone for the next week. Need the dates in the upper left hand corner ofyour P3 and P4 letters please from 2004-2005. Let us know of changes and additions. Updates added to this post (19 May 2005 3pm) :Zingaroyuan95LouRoseMarkdperryfMaui&ChinanousernamekrjchenMariesun41amerchinAnnie RaymarkandannietenfootalbinoLinbarbubblefred10Jocelynmlspyl (actual P3 to P4 received is as reported, not corrected for Monday/Tuesday Theory)Unresolved (We are not going to forget) CFL_Name-----------------P3--------P4------Interview--#days--P3-P4--Type-USC--Slip---Comments ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maui&China------------06/27/04--04/12/05---05/16/05----289----323---K1---Yes-Passed--Interview Queue on 04/03/05 Mari------------------07/15/04-------------------------------------------------------Name-check done on 04/13/05 Alex---------------------------------------12/08/05--------------------------Blue----Case Review Deekdoken----------------------------------------------------------------------------Admin Processing ??? Zingaro---------------11/05/04-------------------------------------------------------2nd name-check delay ??? Mike_Xiao-------------10/28/04--02/08/05---03/11/05----134----103---CR1--Yes-Blue----No explanation on slip animejpop-------------10/10/04--03/08/05---04/13/05----185----149---K1---------------No information yet jual_3----------------??/??/??--02/28/05---04/18/05----???-----98---K1---------------No information yet yuan95----------------11/19/04--03/30/05---05/13/05----176----131---K3---Yes-Passed--No problems ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Listed by upcoming Interview. CFL_Name-----------------P3--------P4------Interview--#days--P3-P4--Type-USC--Slip---Comments ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Markd-----------------12/22/04--03/26/05---05/16/05----145-----94---K1---No--Passed-- perryf----------------12/20/04--03/31/05---05/16/05----147-----99---CR1--No--Passed-- jgrier5---------------12/01/04--04/01/05---05/23/05----173----121---CR1 steve&wei-------------12/27/04--03/31/05---05/23/05----147-----94---IR1 dmaddox74-------------12/07/04--03/29/05---05/24/05----168----112---K3 vibes1313-------------12/20/04--03/29/05---05/24/05----155-----99---K1 fhtb------------------12/19/04--03/28/05---05/25/05----158----100---K1 Squid-----------------12/07/04--04/20/05---05/25/05----169----134---K1 Keith-N-Min-----------01/05/05--04/20/05---05/25/05----140----105---K1 Lassletter------------01/06/05--04/19/05---05/25/05----139----103---K3 hank------------------12/20/04--03/25/05---05/26/05----157-----95---K1 jimglot---------------12/08/04--03/31/05---05/31/05----174----113---K1 someonesbrother-------12/13/04--03/25/05---05/31/05----169----102---K1 peterscat/Icebreaker--12/27/04--03/28/05---05/31/05----155-----91---K1 krjchen---------------01/15/05--05/17/05---06/01/05----137----122---K1 nousername------------01/12/05--05/16/05---06/02/05----141----124---K1 hlin------------------01/13/05--05/01/05---06/06/05----144----108---K1 Liuxia's Husband------01/06/05--04/27/05---06/08/05----153----111---K3 Ron_Frank-------------01/06/05--04/27/05---06/08/05----153----111---K3 melvin----------------01/20/05--05/01/05---06/13/05----144----101---K1 DanR------------------12/29/04--04/28/05---06/15/05----168----120---K1 LouRose---------------01/11/05--04/29/05---06/16/05----156----108---DCF Feathers268-----------01/07/05--05/13/05---06/16/05----160----126---K1 lizziedannypie--------01/05/05--04/30/05---06/21/05----167----115---DCF hayuesan--------------01/05/04--04/27/05---06/30/05----176----112---K1 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This list reflects the Monday/Tuesday theory and earliest guess. P4 is the guess of the date on the Interview letter. P3 to P4 is how many days between. Calculations are so that you can compare to real numbers above. An asterix is next to those who have provided enough data for to guestimate their likely kickout date---meaning the best probablility they would be the ones to get a p4 this week. Month----- CFL_Name-----------------P3--------P4-----P3-P4--Type---------- ------------------------------------------------------November-- Zingaro---------------11/05/04--05/17/05---193---K1---------- ------------------------------------------------------December-- Chad&Tong-------------12/07/04--05/17/05---161---K1 *---------- ------------------------------------------------------January--- Bahan-----------------12/01/04--05/17/05---167---CR1 ---------- Bahan-----------------12/29/04--05/17/05---139---CR1 ---------- Bahan-----------------01/05/05--05/17/05---132---CR1 ---------- June03----------------01/11/05--05/17/05---126---K1 *---------- markandyuping---------01/12/05--05/17/05---125---K1 *---------- inxy------------------01/15/05--05/17/05---122---K3 *---------- john90----------------01/20/05--05/17/05---117---K1---------- jinqutierrez----------01/28/05--05/31/05---123---K1---------- ------------------------------------------------------February-- Littleturtle----------02/15/05--06/21/05---126---K3---------- jfong988--------------02/25/05--06/21/05---116---K1---------- ------------------------------------------------------March----- baogg-----------------03/01/05--07/05/05---126---K3---------- baogg-----------------02/03/05--07/05/05---152---CR1---------- benefanfan------------03/03/05--06/21/05---110---K3---------- benefanfan------------03/18/05--07/19/05---123---CR1---------- DocMartin817----------03/03/05--05/31/05----89---K1---------- mild_bill-------------03/08/05--07/05/05---119---K1---------- F_&_L-----------------03/10/05--07/12/05---124---K1---------- yuehan123-------------03/11/05--06/21/05---102---K1---------- vincent---------------03/11/05--06/28/05---109---K3---------- pkfops----------------03/21/05--06/28/05----99---K1---------- dailyview-------------03/18/05--07/05/05---109---K1---------- huang-----------------03/22/05--07/19/05---119---K1---------- RICHARDLOVESPING------03/23/05--07/05/05---104---K3---------- alaskagypsy-----------03/25/05--07/12/05---109---K1---------- rikj3742--------------03/26/05--07/26/05---122---K1---------- xulei601--------------03/31/05--07/26/05---117---K1---------- ------------------------------------------------------April----- Annie Ray-------------04/01/05--08/05/05---126---K1---------- billv-----------------04/02/05--07/26/05---115---K1---------- DavidZixuan-----------04/08/05--08/01/05---115---K1---------- nagat715--------------04/04/05--07/26/05---113---K1---------- impatient-------------04/08/05--07/26/05---111---K1---------- Luo_Bin_&_Jian--------04/08/05--08/02/05---116---K1---------- tenfootalbino---------03/18/05--08/23/05---167---CR1 ---------- tenfootalbino---------03/30/05--08/09/05---152---CR1 ---------- tenfootalbino---------04/14/05--08/23/05---132---CR1 ---------- buffalopaul-----------04/15/05--08/02/05---109---K1---------- rosyanne--------------04/15/05--08/09/05---116---K1---------- aquach----------------04/16/05--08/08/05---114---K1---------- joenamy---------------12/17/04--05/17/05---151---CR1---------- joenamy---------------02/06/05--06/21/05---135---CR1---------- joenamy---------------04/09/05--08/09/05---122---CR1---------- Mari------------------04/13/05--05/24/05---40----K1----------Readjusted projection to follow Maui&China---------- jtaylo69--------------04/14/05--08/09/05---117---K1---------- Brain_Sharon----------04/17/05--08/10/05---115---K1---------- Jason+Joanna----------04/19/05--08/02/05---105---K1---------- Jocelyn---------------04/20/05--08/09/05---111---K1---------- esun41----------------04/28/05--09/01/05---126---K1---------- James-----------------04/19/05--08/16/05---119---K3---------- James-----------------04/25/04--09/07/05---135---CR1 ---------- Chinese_Wife!!!-------02/14/05--07/19/05---155---CR1---------- Chinese_Wife!!!-------03/11/05--07/12/05---123---CR1---------- mlspyl----------------03/10/05--08/11/05---152---CR1---------- mlspyl----------------03/24/05--08/02/05---131---CR1---------- mlspyl----------------05/12/05--09/14/05---125---CR1---------- Mengxin---------------03/08/05--08/09/05---154---CR1---------- Mengxin---------------04/12/05--08/22/05---133---CR1---------- blsqueaky-------------04/17/05--09/20/05---156---IR1---------- eeyore----------------04/18/05--09/20/05---155---CR1---------- lynne-----------------04/21/05--08/30/05---131---CR1---------- SongDaJiang-----------04/15/05--09/13/05---151---CR1---------- SongDaJiang-----------04/26/05--09/06/05---133---CR1---------- wulongtea-------------04/26/05--08/23/05---119---K1---------- jbray-----------------04/28/05--08/30/05---124---CR1---------- Inxsfan---------------04/29/05--08/31/05---124---..---------- ------------------------------------------------------May------- amerchin--------------05/13/05--09/16/05---126---K1---------- Linbar----------------04/12/05--08/23/05---153---CR1 ---------- markndannie-----------05/04/05--10/03/05---167---CR1---------- markndannie-----------05/17/05--10/18/05---156---CR1---------- bubbafred10-----------05/16/05--10/21/05---167---CR1---------- ------------------------------------------------------ If the P3 date listed is not the one in the computer at GZ, let me know it if you want a more accurate prediction. If it is the date you sent the P3, I would add a week or two. (#days is from P3 to Interview, more accurate if time reported is P3 entry into computer)Color code for K1 and K3 sending P3 to Guz(Top color most accurate) Red---- = P3 entered in Computer Blue--- = P3 received at GUZ (Mail delivery of P3 papers) Green-- = P3 sent to GUZ Pink--- = P3 received from GUZ Orange- = P3 uncertain Color code for K3/CR1/IR1 sending ds-230 to NVC(Still working on accuracy, need more data) Brown-- = DS-230 Sent to NVC or Received Purple- = Case Complete at NVC Gray--- = DS-230 At GUZ from NVC --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Directions to enter your time line. (From John & Hai Yan)At the top of this page you will see a tool bar that has the words "Your Control Panel." Click on these words to go to your control panel. On the upper left you will see a list of functions that you can perform. Look for the the words "Edit my signature." Click on these words and when the next window opens, there will be a box where you can type in your timeline. After you are finished, click on the button below the box that says, "Update my Signature." Whats an informative time line? As much as possible about everything. But for the purposes of this list, specifically at least the following. For K1/K3: / / Date on P3 Letter / / P-3 received via EMS / / P-3 returned to GUZ via EMS / / P-3 entered in computer at Guangzhou / / P-4 Date on P4 Interview Letter / / P-4 received (or by calling DOS) / / Interview For CR1/IR1: / / DS-230 Sent to NVC / / Case Complete at NVC / / Case at Guz and entered into Guz computer How do you get this information? By calling DOS at 1-202-663-1225, Press 1, then 0, then 0, have your GUZ number, your fiance's name and birthdate available and ask your question. Link to comment
nooneufo Posted May 16, 2005 Report Share Posted May 16, 2005 For the CR1's, here is some data from 001 forum of recent CR1's---P3----------P4------Interview---#days12/01/04--- 04/27/05--- 06/01/05--- 18212/03/04--- 04/20/05--- 05/13/05--- 16112/10/04--- 03/27/05--- 05/26/05--- 16712/29/04--- 05/13/05--- 06/16/05--- 16912/30/04--- 04/28/05--- 06/21/05--- 173What date is being reported for the P3 is not certain, but I post this so you can compare to the monitoring done here. I make the assumption the likely reported date is for either the case complete at NVC, or when it is in Guangzhou computers. Total average is 170 days.Recent averages show approximately a 8 day difference in P3 to Interview days compared to CFL for the same time period of K1/K3 total average of 162 days for December P3s.Because there is a week to week fluctuation, it is hard to tell where a person will end on the monthly curve, until we can get more accurate reporting dates. Link to comment
nooneufo Posted May 16, 2005 Report Share Posted May 16, 2005 Time for some more charts. I wish there was good news. But at least I can't say there is bad news either. Just the same news.I hope it has become obvious to most, that there is a pattern. More accurate data would make this clearer still. http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/P3toP4.gif http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/P3toInterview.gif http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/JulytoJanuaryP3.gif Link to comment
LouRose Posted May 16, 2005 Report Share Posted May 16, 2005 You have me listed as K3 but in fact I am CR1 through DCF. No big deal, just thought i'd let you know, for accuracy's sake. Link to comment
Zingaro Posted May 17, 2005 Report Share Posted May 17, 2005 You have our P3 date listed as 11/15/04. Actually it should be 11/5/04 (received/logged at GZ). Link to comment
Linbar Posted May 18, 2005 Report Share Posted May 18, 2005 Hi Guys, Nooneufo, could you add my info to your chart please. If this is not the proper way to inform you, then whoops, sorry. Thanks for all the work that you are doing on this. I think it is a great help to see laid out. Thanks Barry Link to comment
joenamy Posted May 18, 2005 Report Share Posted May 18, 2005 Thanks for all the work that you are doing on this. Nooneufo, I wanted to say the same thing. Link to comment
krjchen Posted May 18, 2005 Report Share Posted May 18, 2005 Got our P4 on 5/17. Great estimates guys!!!!! Interview is scheduled for 6/1. Link to comment
jgrier5 Posted May 18, 2005 Report Share Posted May 18, 2005 Mine is coming up soon! YEA YEA YEA Link to comment
MarkD Posted May 18, 2005 Report Share Posted May 18, 2005 Markd-----------------12/22/04--03/26/05---05/16/05----145-----94---K1 perryf----------------12/20/04--03/31/05---05/16/05----147-----99---CR1Perry's wife and my fiancee have passed their interviews and picked up their visas today. Link to comment
nooneufo Posted May 19, 2005 Report Share Posted May 19, 2005 Thank you for the information updates everyone. Every little piece of information helps for the whole picture. As a reminder of what we are asking for, for those who have not told me, your dates actually printed on the P3/P4 letters in the top of the right hand corner of the letter. In case I have failed to mention this:Really....Need....Your dates actually printed on the P3/P4 letters in the top of the right hand corner of each letter. For people back to July of 2004 to now. New charts to compare to the ones above as the data rolls in. With more recent short notice interviews...could things move faster for next month? Or slow further? Two more weeks to find out.... http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/P3toP418May05.gif http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/P3toInterview18May05.gif http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/JunetoJanCFL18May05.gif Link to comment
nooneufo Posted May 19, 2005 Report Share Posted May 19, 2005 Because I like to see all the data I can on a chart, the P3 to P4 chart is proably looking crowded to some. Here is a version with the raw data removed, meaning I have removed the dotted lines leaving only the adjusted times. What am I adjusting for? For example, removing holiday dates. http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y60/diogenesfree/p3toP4Rawremoved18May05.gif Link to comment
david_dawei Posted May 19, 2005 Report Share Posted May 19, 2005 I got to finally ask.. what am I looking at here, by week of each month? Link to comment
nooneufo Posted May 19, 2005 Report Share Posted May 19, 2005 Yes. The chart titled "From July2004 to January 2005 P3's" is the same two charts only each month after another.Two views of the same thing, P3 to P4 and P3 to Interview. Link to comment
david_dawei Posted May 19, 2005 Report Share Posted May 19, 2005 I don't get the x-axis.. why graphy by week of each month? What does that tell us? July week 1 is about 150.. what does that mean in relation to July week 1? Link to comment
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now